Africa records a new high for economy-wide prices

Africa’s broad measure of prices for domestically produced goods and services rose 4.6% in the second quarter of 2025. It has increased 34.9% since the third quarter of 2019, compared with 23.5% for the G20.

This is a price story, not a measure of how much more Africa produced. The GDP price deflator compares output valued at current prices with output adjusted for inflation. It covers prices across domestically produced consumption, investment, government services and exports, making it broader than a consumer-price index.

The Africa-wide index reached 146.55 in the second quarter, up from 140.14 in the first. That was the highest reading in the series, which begins in the first quarter of 2012, and extended an almost uninterrupted climb from 108.63 in the third quarter of 2019.

The distinction matters for interpreting the economy. Higher prices can lift nominal GDP, tax receipts and the denominator used in debt-to-GDP ratios without producing an equivalent increase in actual goods and services. Households also should not read the quarterly change as their personal inflation rate: the deflator covers a different basket, and the continental aggregate can conceal substantial differences between countries.

The UN Economic Commission for Africa’s Africa’s Bi-Annual Economic Performance and Outlook says the continent’s 2025 GDP growth was supported by public investment, fiscal reforms and deeper trade integration. That provides context for economic activity, but it does not establish what caused this quarter’s price move. For living standards, the crucial follow-up is whether inflation-adjusted output per person and household incomes kept pace.