Georgia’s bank capital distribution became less lopsided

Weighted skewness in Georgian banks’ Tier 1 capital-to-assets ratios fell from 7.24% in Q1/2026 to 4.68% in Q2/2026, the lowest reading in an IMF series that begins in Q1/2023. The 2.56-point drop concerns the shape of the distribution, not the amount of capital across the banking system.

This is a distribution statistic, not a bank solvency score. Tier 1 capital is a bank’s core, loss-absorbing capital, while the capital-to-assets ratio compares that cushion with its total assets. Weighted skewness measures how lopsided those ratios are across deposit-taking institutions; a positive result indicates a longer upper tail, with some banks above the bulk of the distribution.

The latest reading breaks clearly from the series’ previous range. Earlier observations since Q1/2023 ran from 6.7% in Q2/2024 to 8.34% in Q4/2023, around a long-run average of 7.125%. The fall to 4.68% points to a less pronounced upper tail, but it does not show whether lower-capital banks improved, higher-capital banks moved down, or the weighting and composition of the distribution changed.

That distinction matters for supervisors. Distribution measures can reveal whether an apparently healthy system-wide capital figure conceals unusual banks at either end. But weighted skewness alone cannot establish that Georgia’s banks are safer or weaker; the underlying capital ratios and institution-level spread are needed before drawing that conclusion. For now, this unusually low reading is a reason to inspect the distribution, not evidence of a broad change in financial resilience.